Riding
118 polling divisions
Names collected from official party websites and Wikipedia · photos from the party websites · compiled by hand, updated as the campaign unfolds.
Simon Allaire
CAQ
Incumbent
Marc-André Cloutier
PCQ
Isabelle Blais
PQ
Simon Piotte
QS
Nancy Mignault
PLQ
Rest of Quebec · 118 polling divisions
PQ leads the projection, ahead by 2.9 pts, very close.
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The polling-division map, sliders, and detailed scenarios for this riding (and the other 126) are reserved for subscribers.
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The subscription
$20 / year + tax
The polling-division map, sliders, and detailed scenarios are reserved for subscribers: all 127 ridings, updated with every poll.
SubscribeMove a slider: the other parties share the movement according to second choices, and each polling division is recalculated here, with nothing sent to the server.
Projected result
Shares of the likely electorate, which differ from those of the surveyed population.
Based on the same 10,000 simulations as the national odds: the share of scenarios where each party wins in this riding. The terms are explained in the glossary.