Riding
133 polling divisions
Names collected from official party websites and Wikipedia · photos from the party websites · compiled by hand, updated as the campaign unfolds.
Valérie Doyon
CAQ
Marianne Poirier
PCQ
Catherine Gentilcore
PQ
Incumbent
Ariane Drainville
QS
Ange Claude Bigilimana
PLQ
Montreal CMA · 133 polling divisions
PQ leads the projection, ahead by 31.7 pts.
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The subscription
$20 / year + tax
The polling-division map, sliders, and detailed scenarios are reserved for subscribers: all 127 ridings, updated with every poll.
SubscribeMove a slider: the other parties share the movement according to second choices, and each polling division is recalculated here, with nothing sent to the server.
Projected result
Shares of the likely electorate, which differ from those of the surveyed population.
Based on the same 10,000 simulations as the national odds: the share of scenarios where each party wins in this riding. The terms are explained in the glossary.