Riding
135 polling divisions
Names collected from official party websites and Wikipedia · photos from the party websites · compiled by hand, updated as the campaign unfolds.
Ian Lafrenière
CAQ
Incumbent
Martine Boucher
PCQ
Stephan Fogaing
PQ
Magdouda Oudjit
QS
Affine Lwalalika
PLQ
Montreal CMA · 135 polling divisions
PQ leads the projection, ahead by 11.0 pts.
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The subscription
$20 / year + tax
The polling-division map, sliders, and detailed scenarios are reserved for subscribers: all 127 ridings, updated with every poll.
SubscribeMove a slider: the other parties share the movement according to second choices, and each polling division is recalculated here, with nothing sent to the server.
Projected result
Shares of the likely electorate, which differ from those of the surveyed population.
Based on the same 10,000 simulations as the national odds: the share of scenarios where each party wins in this riding. The terms are explained in the glossary.